Emerson T. Brooking

THINKER, TINKER · DEFENSE, AI, THE INTERNET · WASHINGTON, DC

Detail of Titian's Sisyphus: a muscular figure strains under an enormous boulder carried on his shoulders, his head bowed beneath it, embers glowing to the right.
TITIAN, SISYPHUS, 1548–49. OIL ON CANVAS. MUSEO NACIONAL DEL PRADO, MADRID

Writing

ANALYSISInternational Cyberspace & Digital Policy Strategy Markup

The Atlantic Council’s line-by-line markup of the State Department’s first cyberspace strategy, endorsing its digital-solidarity framing while noting it remains, for now, more statement of purpose than actualized impact.

WITH SAFA SHAHWAN EDWARDS, ROSE JACKSON, KONSTANTINOS KOMAITIS ET AL.

ATLANTIC COUNCIL (external)
MAY 2024
ANALYSISGaza and the Future of Information Warfare

How the Israel-Hamas war fused physical and digital fronts: Israel’s 9,500 platform takedown requests (94% granted) and an 80% collapse in Gaza’s internet traffic, prefiguring China’s “cognitive warfare” doctrine.

WITH P.W. SINGER

FOREIGN AFFAIRS (external)
DEC 2023
ANALYSISWelcome to Cyber Realism

The 2023 DoD Cyber Strategy, argue its own drafters, quietly drops decades of “cyber Pearl Harbor” alarmism for modest aims: the Pentagon can’t defend every network, and cyber works only alongside other tools of power.

WITH ERICA LONERGAN

WAR ON THE ROCKS (external)
SEP 2023
ANALYSISDraft Trump Executive Order Shows How False Foreign Interference Claims May Be Used to Undermine U.S. Elections

A December 2020 draft executive order would have had the Pentagon seize voting machines nationwide, using fabricated claims that Dominion Voting Systems was foreign-controlled as pretext to federalize the National Guard.

JUST SECURITY (external)
APR 2022
ANALYSISMeta Meets the Reality of War

Meta’s leaked guidance briefly allowed calls for violence against Russian soldiers (not POWs) in Ukraine, echoing earlier carve-outs for the Taliban and ISIS — a policy a garbled Reuters headline helped Russia use to ban Instagram.

TECH POLICY PRESS (external)
MAR 2022
ANALYSISHow to End Israel’s Digital Occupation

Israeli security services have arrested roughly 2,000 Palestinians for social media posts since 2017, while pressure campaigns pushed Facebook toward a definition of antisemitism that chills criticism of Israeli policy.

WITH ELIZA ASPEN

FOREIGN POLICY (external)
DEC 2021
ANALYSISWhat We Learned in the DNI's New Election Report

The declassified intelligence assessment of 2020 election interference shows the threat evolving: Russia dropped the WikiLeaks-style cutouts and pitched influence directly to Trump allies, Iran grew more aggressive, and China judged meddling not worth the risk.

DEFENSE ONE (external)
MAR 2021
ANALYSISAmericans Were Worried About the Wrong Threat

Written in the wake of January 6: Americans spent 2020 fearing foreign election interference — 75 percent told Pew so — while years of domestic disinformation built the “tinderbox of rage and delusion” that produced the Capitol attack.

WITH JACOB SHAPIRO

THE ATLANTIC (external)
JAN 2021
ANALYSISOp-Ed: For right-wing extremists, this was a victory

Written for the morning after January 6: the Capitol attack was a victory for the far right — a mythologized rallying point that will outlast Trump and pull the movement toward anti-state violence.

DFRLAB (external)
JAN 2021
ANALYSISForeign Influence Operations After 2020

A synthesis of a Lawfare/Stanford debate on whether foreign influence operations are real or an overblown “disinformation complex” — both camps agree the core vulnerability is domestic polarization, not foreign meddling.

LAWFARE (external)
OCT 2020
ANALYSISCoverage of Hunter Biden story illustrates extremes in media polarization

A DFRLab analysis of coverage of the unverified Hunter Biden laptop story in the closing weeks of the 2020 campaign, tracing how the same material split sharply along partisan media lines — a case study in the extremes of the U.S. information environment.

DFRLAB (external)
OCT 2020
ANALYSISThe Senate Created a Playbook to Counter Foreign Influence. Then It Did the Opposite.

The Senate Intelligence Committee urged restraint on foreign interference, while Sen. Ron Johnson ran his own Ukraine probe that became a vehicle for Kremlin-linked operatives to launder disinformation targeting Biden.

WITH GRAHAM BROOKIE

JUST SECURITY (external)
AUG 2020
ANALYSISThe Russians Are Meddling in the Democratic Primary. Is Anyone Paying Attention?

A Russian Instagram operation reaching 147,000 US users, boosting Sanders while tarnishing Biden, repeats 2016 — but inside the primary, the meddling accusation itself becomes a weapon Democrats turn on each other.

WASHINGTON POST (external)
OCT 2019
ANALYSISThe Christchurch Call and the Failure of US Leadership

The Trump administration cited free-speech concerns to skip the 2019 Christchurch Call on online extremism, then hours later attacked platforms for removing white nationalist content, reversing 2017 anti-ISIS pledges.

ATLANTIC COUNCIL (external)
MAY 2019
ANALYSISWhite Nationalism Overshadowed at Congressional Hearing on White Nationalism

Twitter mentions of Candace Owens outpaced mentions of white nationalism after she sparred with Rep. Ted Lieu at an April 2019 hearing on hate crimes, drowning out Google and Facebook testimony on content moderation.

WITH MELISSA HALL

DFRLAB (external)
APR 2019
ANALYSISThe Very First Social Network

In 1979, a chain email asking ARPANET researchers their favorite science fiction authors became, in Vint Cerf’s words, proof ‘we had a social medium on our hands’ — the direct ancestor of the internet we know today.

WITH P.W. SINGER

SLATE (external)
OCT 2018
ANALYSISWhat Clausewitz Can Teach Us About War on Social Media

Applies Clausewitz’s “center of gravity” — a people’s spirit and will — to explain why social media succeeds at wartime persuasion where WWII radio and Vietnam-era leaflets failed. Coins the term “LikeWar.”

WITH P.W. SINGER

FOREIGN AFFAIRS (external)
OCT 2018
ANALYSISHow October 7th, 2016 Shaped the Course of American History

October 7th, 2016 was the day that Hillary Clinton appeared to win the presidential election. She was ahead in the polls in every contested state, with twice the field offices as Donald Trump and twice the cash on hand. She had been blanketing the airwaves with ads and was on her way to being endorsed by 95 percent of all newspaper editorial boards. And then, at 4:05 P.M. EST, the Access Hollywood tape dropped.

FULL TEXT
OCT 2018
ANALYSISWhy Americans Aren’t Paying Attention to the Longest War in Their Nation’s History

By 2018, most Americans had tuned out the Afghanistan war — Trump tweeted about the NFL anthem six times more often than the conflict, and its most viral moment was mockery of the MOAB’s nickname.

WITH P.W. SINGER

TIME (external)
OCT 2018
ANALYSISSocial Media Is Revolutionizing Warfare

Michael Flynn, interviewed as a former DIA director, describes intelligence’s shift toward open-source data — a conversation held before his fall as Trump’s National Security Adviser.

WITH P.W. SINGER

THE ATLANTIC (external)
OCT 2018
ANALYSISHow the Kavanaugh Information War Mirrors Real Warzones

The Kavanaugh fight replayed information-war tactics: OSINT crowdsourcing into his finances, a doppelganger theory echoing Russia’s MH17 disinformation, and dueling Wikipedia edits over “Devil’s Triangle.”

WITH P.W. SINGER

WIRED (external)
OCT 2018
ANALYSISImmigration Fight Shows Silicon Valley Must Stop Feigning Neutrality

During the family-separation protests, Twitter banned a crowdsourced ICE-agent database as “doxing” while suspending users who merely shared a journalist’s leaked phone number — proof its neutrality was always a fiction.

WITH P.W. SINGER

WIRED (external)
JUL 2018
ANALYSISWhen Should the 9/11 War End?

A law written to cover nineteen 9/11 hijackers now underwrites counterterrorism operations across a quarter of the world’s nations; with bin Laden dead, it argues the AUMF needs rewriting, not indefinite renewal.

THE NATIONAL INTEREST (external)
SEP 2015
ANALYSISWorld War I’s ‘D-Day’ Disaster: The Gallipoli Tragedy

Churchill’s faith in naval bombardment, a vague political mandate, and General Hamilton’s refusal to plan for failure turned the 1915 Gallipoli landings into an eight-month catastrophe costing 250,000 casualties for four miles of ground.

THE NATIONAL INTEREST (external)
APR 2015
ANALYSISThe U.S. Government Should Pay Anonymous in Bitcoin to Fight ISIS

Proposes a Bitcoin-funded bounty system, run through an independent nonprofit, paying hacktivists like Anonymous to identify and disable Islamic State social media accounts, recruiting sites, and VPN channels.

FOREIGN POLICY (external)
MAR 2015
ANALYSISA Century Ago Today, the Age of Industrial Warfare Began

On August 7, 1914, the French advanced into German-controlled Alscace, beating back the German divisions with a vicious display of massed firepower and artillery. This was the opening day of the Battle of the Frontiers, a month-long struggle of maneuver in which French, British, and German armies played tug-of-war across a 440-mile front. This was World War I before the trenches, where the visions of nineteenth-century military planners collided with the realities of twentieth-century industrial warfare. The battle saw 670,000 dead or wounded in a month---the highest density of losses in the entire war. This month would shatter a century of military doctrine.

FULL TEXT
JAN 2015
ANALYSISMore Than 6,000 Afghan Interpreters Are Stuck in Bureaucratic Limbo

The Afghan Special Immigrant Visa program is set to lapse Dec. 31 after granting just 32 visas to 5,700 applicants in four years, while two bills to extend it stall in Congress.

WITH JANINE DAVIDSON

DEFENSE ONE (external)
OCT 2014
ANALYSISThe ISIS Propaganda Machine Is Horrifying and Effective. How Does It Work?

The Islamic State's "A Message to America," showing American journalist James Foley's final moments, is vile and horrifying. Significantly, unlike the early propaganda of Al Qaeda, this video is also professionally cut and edited. It is the sort of thing engineered to achieve rapid, viral spread on the open internet. It also represents the main weapon the Islamic State is increasingly employing to great effect against the West.

FULL TEXT
AUG 2014
ANALYSISIn Iraq, What Exactly Was the Alternative?

"We Never Should Have Left Iraq." "Who Lost Iraq?" "Bush warned this would happen in Iraq." "Obama's Iraq disaster." "The Collapsing Obama Doctrine." "Sometimes withdrawal is the stupidest thing of all."

FULL TEXT
JUN 2014
ANALYSISWhat Now for America’s Young, Jobless Soldiers?

As the Pentagon carries out its sharpest personnel drawdown in forty years, post-9/11 veterans face 10 percent unemployment, 20 percent among those 18-24, even as the GI Bill and federal hiring offer less of a safety net.

THE NATIONAL INTEREST (external)
NOV 2013
ANALYSISNeverwinter Nevermore

Neverwinter Nights occupies a strange corner of PC gaming history. It was the last of the great Dungeons & Dragons RPG epics (following Planescape: Torment, Icewind Dale, and Baldur's Gate) and the first to be rendered in 3D. It was also the last "old-school" BioWare game, coming as the studio was already shifting gears toward Knights of the Old Republic. While Neverwinter Nights saw strong reviews and enough commercial success to spawn two expansion packs and an Obsidian-produced sequel, it was a flawed masterpiece. Its graphics were outdated almost immediately; its single-player campaign was unremarkable.

FULL TEXT
JAN 2010